2021 MLB Win Totals: Best Bets

Opening Day is approaching, which means that teams have started to take shape in Spring Training. There is not a better time to start locking in your 2021 MLB win totals future bets. There are a few totals that currently stand out.

Miami Marlins – Over 72.5 Wins

It seems crazy to take the over of 72.5 wins for the Marlins in 2021 on a surface level. The National League East is one of the best divisions in baseball. The five teams in the division are going to beat each other up every night. 

The Marlins will not win the division, but they have the talent to be the division spoiler. The strength of the Marlins is their young pitching staff. The Marlins’ oldest starter is 25 years old. Additionally, every projected rotation member had an ERA below 4.00 in 2020. 

Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez are electric on the hill. Alcantara must control his pitches, but he has superior strikeout ability. The main issue that the Marlins will have to combat is a lack of offensive firepower. 

The Marlins made the playoffs last year, and this momentum should roll into 2021. Pitching and defense win games, so I like Miami’s chances of winning 73 or more games.

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Toronto Blue Jays – Over 87.5 Wins

I like the Toronto Blue Jays in the American League East this season. The Blue Jays are still a couple of years away from contending with the Yankees. However, the combination of young talent and veterans on this team is dangerous. 

If the Yankees do not stay healthy, Toronto could win the division title. The young core of Toronto seemed to mesh well last season. I expect Bo Bichette, Cavan Biggio, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to take the next step this season. If this occurs, the club will prosper because they also added George Springer. 

George Springer’s 30+ homers in the leadoff spot are what Toronto needed to become a divisional contender. The Blue Jays won 32 games last season and made the playoffs. I expect similar results over 162 contests in 2021.


2021 MLB Win Totals – Los Angeles Dodgers – Under 103.5 Wins 

When looking at 2021 MLB win totals, the Dodgers are the best team in baseball, but they have some flaws. I think it’s safer to take the under than the over for the Dodgers. Los Angeles will still win the division, but San Diego is not going to make it easy. 

Additionally, it’s tough to repeat as a champion in the MLB. The Dodgers are loaded, and it’s tough to find weaknesses, but it’s hard to win 104 games in baseball. The back end of the rotation is concerning.

2021 MLB Win Totals

Julio Urias and Dustin May still need to prove themselves. David Price opted out last season. He is no longer a Cy Young-caliber pitcher, especially after a year off. The bullpen is also somewhat concerning when we are talking 104 wins. 

The Dodgers can score runs, but the Padres are not pretenders. The Padres’ presence will be the reason that the Dodgers do not go over 103.5 wins. I think Los Angeles is a 101-win team, meaning this bet could come down to the final week of 2021.